Probability of periodontal disease in function of risk factors using a mathematical model
Keywords:
PERIODONTAL DISEASES, MATHEMATICAL MODELS, EPIDEMIOLÓGICAL FACTORS.Abstract
Introduction: periodontal disease occupies the second place both by its prevalence as by its effects.
Objective: to determine the probability of suffering periodontal disease according to the current risk factors and by means of a mathematical model.
Method: an epidemiological- analytical study of cases and controls was carried out, comprising ages from 15 to 59. The cases involved 772 patients and 357 controls, belonging to Hermanos Cruz University Polyclinic, during the period of one year. A univariate analysis of each of the variables with respect to periodontal disease was conducted using chi-square test of independence and Bartholomew test (in the case of ordinal variables). The univariate analysis of the explanatory variable (age) was performed by means of t-Student statistical test. The association was assessed through the independence test X2 (chi square) for the qualitative variables, the Multiple Logistic Regression (MLR) was applied with a dichotomous response.
Results: periodontal disease is directly related to oral hygiene in this population with a coefficient of 3.9, followed by hygienic education (1.7), socioeconomic level (1.4), and schooling (0.9).
Conclusion: the probability of suffering from a periodontal disease in the population under investigation is significantly influenced by oral hygiene, health education, socioeconomic level and schooling. It is possible to predict the probability of the onset of periodontal disease in each one of the individuals of the population included in this study according to the aforementioned variables using a mathematical model.
Downloads
References
1. Valle MC. Temas de Periodoncia I. Guantánamo: Editorial Pueblo y Educación; 1991.
2. MINSAP. Anuario Estadístico de Salud 2014. [Internet]. La Habana: Dirección Nacional de Registros Médicos y Estadísticas de Salud; 2015. [citado 2015 May 29]; E-Book. [Aprox. 2 p.]. Disponible en: http://www.google.com.cu/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=2&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwj--o6r0vbQAhVGrVQKHZ9jCuwQFgghMAE&url=http%3A%2F%2Ffiles.sld.cu%2Fbvscuba%2Ffiles%2F2015%2F04%2Fanuario-estadistico-de-salud-2014.pdf&usg=AFQjCNH1MiNBJ-L9aet6CAKuN7xk8YHTQA
3. Sosa Rosales M. Epidemiología de las enfermedades bucales más frecuentes. En: González Naya G, Montero del Castillo ME. Estomatología General Integral. [Internet]. La Habana: Editorial Ciencias Médicas; 2013. [Citado 2014 Dic 04]; E-Book. [Aprox. 6 p.]. Disponible en: http://gsdl.bvs.sld.cu/cgi-bin/library?e=d-00000-00%E2%80%94off-0estomato%E2%80%9400-0%E2%80%94%E2%80%940-10-0estomato-10%E2%80%944%E2%80%94%E2%80%94%E2%80%940-0l%E2%80%9411-1l-50%E2%80%9420-about%E2%80%9400-0-1-00-0-0-11-1-00+-00-0direct-10---4-------0-1l--11-es-50---20-home---00-3-1-00-0-0-11-1-0utfZz-8-00&a=d&c=estomato&cl=CL1&d=HASH01d527521f8cc3e820bb145a.4.1
4. Llanes Llanes E, Del Valle Portilla MC, Rodríguez Méndez G, Almarales Sierra C, Ysasi Cruz MA, Álvarez Pérez MC, et al. Guías Prácticas de enfermedades gingivales y periodontales. En: Sosa Rosales MC. Guías Prácticas de Estomatología. La Habana: Ciencias Médicas; 2013. p. 195-6.
5. Pérez Hernández LY, de Armas Cándano A, Fuentes Ayala E, Rosell Puentes F, Urrutia Díaz D. Prevalencia de enfermedad periodontal y factores de riesgo asociados. Policlínico Pedro Borrás, Pinar del Río. Rev Ciencias Médicas [Internet]. 2011 Jun [citado 29 de nov 2 p]; 15(2). Disponible en: http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1561-31942011000200006
6. Mayán Reina Grissel, de Beche Riambau Elisa, Sosa Rodríguez Iria, Parejo Maden Dayanira, Morales Morán Liset. Gingivitis crónica y la higiene bucal en adolescentes de la secundaria básica "Raúl González Diego". Rev haban cienc méd [revista en la Internet]. 2012 Dic [citado 2014 Nov 14]; 11(4): 484-495. Disponible en: http://www.bvs.sld.cu/revistas/rhab/vol_11_4_12/rhcm08412.htm
7. Casnati B, Álvarez R, Massa F, Lorenzo S, Angulo M, Carzoglio J et al. Prevalencia y factores de riesgo de las lesiones de la mucosa oral en la población urbana del Uruguay. Odontoestomatología [Internet]. 2013 Jun [citado 2016 ene 29]; 15(spe): [aprox 8 p]. Disponible en: http://www.scielo.edu.uy/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1688-93392013000200007
8. Castañeda Abascal IE, Lok Castañeda A, Lok Molina JM. Prevalencia y factores pronósticos de caries dental en la población de 15 a 19 años. Rev Cubana Estomatol [Internet]. 2015 [citado 2016 ene 29]; 52 (Supl 1): [Aprox. 10 p.]. Disponible en: http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S0034-75072015000500004
9. Papanov PN, Lindhe J. Epidemiología. En: Lindhe J, Lang NP, Mombelli A, Attstrom R. periondontología clínica e implantología odontológica. 3ra. ed. Madrid: Editorial Médica Panamericana; 2000. p. 85-6.
10. Zaldívar Bernal HL, Cid Rodríguez MC, Sánchez Gay JM, Montes de Oca Ramos R. Comportamiento de la gingivitis crónica en adolescentes de la Secundaria Básica “Jesús Fernández”. Santa Marta, Cárdenas. Revista Médica Electrónica. [Internet]. 2014 [citado 2017 Ene 17]; 36: [Aprox. 11 p.]. Disponible en: http://www.revmedicaelectronica.sld.cu/index.php/rme/article/view/1156/html
11. Rubio Rios G, Cruz Hernández I, Torres López MC. Estado periodontal e higiene bucal en mayores de 15 años. Área Norte. Sancti Spíritus 2010. Gac Méd Espirit [Internet]. 2013 Abr [citado 2016 Dic 13]; 15(1): [Aprox. 14 p.]. Disponible en: http://bvs.sld.cu/revistas/gme/pub/vol.15.%281%29_07/p7.html
12. Rivadeneira Obregón AM, Nazco Barrios LE, Hernández Pérez M, Hernández CA. Nivel de conocimiento sobre salud buco-dental. Consultorio 1ero de marzo. Feb-Oct 2009. Gac Méd Espirit [Internet]. 2013 abr [citado 2015 diciembre 15]; 15(1): [Aprox. 18 p.]. Disponible en: http://scielo.sld.cu/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S1608-89212013000100009
13. Fernández Plata R, Olmedo Torres D, Martínez Briseño D, García Sancho C, Franco Marina F, González Cruz H. Prevalencia de enfermedad periodontal grave (EPG) y su asociación con enfermedades respiratorias en pacientes adultos hospitalizados en un centro de tercer nivel. Gaceta Médica de México[Internet]. 2015 [citado 2015 diciembre 15]; 151: 608-13 [Aprox. 12 p.]. Disponible en: http://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwitgrPF3_bQAhUFfxoKHUWJAagQFggeMAA&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.anmm.org.mx%2FGMM%2F2015%2Fn5%2FGMM_151_2015_5_608-613.pdf&usg=AFQjCNEltkZqlDyKAtVZ8ykOYV_qQXoLgw
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Authors who have publications with this journal agree to the following terms: Authors will retain their copyrights and grant the journal the right of first publication of their work, which will be publication of their work, which will be simultaneously subject to the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC-BY-NC 4.0) that allows third parties to share the work as long as its author and first publication in this journal are indicated.
Authors may adopt other non-exclusive license agreements for distribution of the published version of the work (e.g.: deposit it in an institutional telematic archive or publish it in a volume). Likewise, and according to the recommendations of the Medical Sciences Editorial (ECIMED), authors must declare in each article their contribution according to the CRediT taxonomy (contributor roles). This taxonomy includes 14 roles, which can be used to represent the tasks typically performed by contributors in scientific academic production. It should be consulted in monograph) whenever initial publication in this journal is indicated. Authors are allowed and encouraged to disseminate their work through the Internet (e.g., in institutional telematic archives or on their web page) before and during the submission process, which may produce interesting exchanges and increase citations of the published work. (See The effect of open access). https://casrai.org/credit/
